Notes on
Countering
Alternative Energy Misinformation Extant in NZ
Notes
from coversations, OU 2009 Updated
Oct 2019 There
are various types of misinformation about the type and
uses of
alternative energy suitable for interface with, and
complementing of,
the main power grid in NZ. Some of the misinformation is
a matter of
vested interest, some is politically expedient, some
just mischief
and urban myth, and some just generational. The
following file will
describe, in a short information package, the status quo
of
alternative energy use in NZ, and also in view of
present and future
climate change trends. Cimate Change is a purposive
misnomer, along
the lines of ‘the climate is always changing’, a handy
cop-out
for deniers. The full title should be CC/GW/OW/AW, aka
climate
change/global warming/ocean warming/atmospheric warming,
to show the
full extent of what is happening. 1) NZ’s
primary electrical power source is at least renewable,
in the
sense that, once built, hydro dams do hold rainwater for
power
generation, and, should be of sufficient capacity to do
so regardless
of season. South Island hydro, ironically, is located
within an
Alpine rain-shadow, which does not auger well for
climate change, as
most of the water reserves that will enter the dams are
held in snow
and ice. North Island dams are dependent entirely on
rainfall, and
consequent
river
levels, to be sustainable. Hydro potential in NZ is being
further
reduced to smaller and smaller installations in more
regional areas,
especially as there will be increasing competition for
water for
other purposes, such as irrigation and potable water.
Thus, use of
alternative energy is becoming more important, not least
because
insufficient regard is being shown for optimal NZ
population numbers,
and population
nodal
balance. The North Island is unbalanced regarding
present power
generation potential versus population numbers, thus
requiring South
Island grid supplementation. Dams
themselves are not so green when the initial cost of
construction is
considered, with heavy reliance on fossil fuels for
construction,
and, the major power reticulation and maintenance costs
that also
must be met. Dams also may cause earthquakes in
susceptible areas,
(eg Benmore), even with the most carefully planned
siting and
construction. As well as interrupting land use due to
raised water
levels, and the natural carbon cycle of the original
land that
becomes submerged. Methane is a major greenhouse gas
that is
generated by both natural anoxic decay, as well as by
methanogens in
oxygen-deprived environments, so, original vegetation
breakdown, as
well as the ongoing accumulation of water-borne organic
debris, silt,
and mud, means that an endless supply of
methane-producing deposits
continues to accumulate, as well as a gradual loss of
storage
capacity resulting if flushing mechanisms are not
present. This has
occurred at the Aswan Dam, and will occur in the Three
Gorges Dam. NZ North Island dams are also susceptible to
this shallowing, unless
careful land-use is practised. As
for nuclear power, forget it, especially in a country
that is one big
earthquake zone, with no significant economic reserves
and/or
flexibility, and, dependent entirely on overseas markets
for nuclear
fuel, plus, being remote from many markets for products
and services. Nuclear power, by its very nature, is
dirty and dangerous, and can
never be completely safe, which is a definite priority,
considering
the previous history of nuclear power use. Even moored
atomic
submarines, as once mooted for Darwin’s power
generation, would be
impracticable, hazardous, and politically very
unpopular…! The
Fukushima accident, also on the Pacific Rim of Fire, has
served as a
timely example of such hazards. Given
NZ’s alternative energy alternatives, nuclear power is
simply
unnecessary.
2)
Thus, properly planned alternative energy can be of
great value in
complementing all stored water reserves, as well as
relieving the
need for more dams, or, coal-fired power stations such
as Huntly, at
a time when GHG emissions are subject to world scrutiny.
Keep the
water behind the dam walls by optimising alternative
energy power
generation. The present dams, fortunately for NZ, serve
as the
‘battery storage’ facilities that so many other
countries do not
have. However, climate change/ CC/GW/OW/AW
means that careful water conservation must be ongoing
for optimum
storage, and this can be maintained by educated power
usage,
supporting the woollen industry, and, most importantly,
by
alternative energy generation that pre-empts excessive
release of
stored water.
3)
Geothermal power is very useful, although always
dependent on careful
management, and, geological stability of the geothermal
fields that
supply the
steam energy. Wind and wave power
utilities are, by their very natures, also
exposed to the extremes of the elements that provide
their generating
energy, thus being susceptible to storm damage, are also
capital
intensive, and, require continuous maintenance.
4)
Solar power is also capital-intensive, but, once arrays
are set up in
optimally-sheltered north-facing locations, (vice-versa
for the N.
Hemisphere),
they will function efficiently for 30 years or more,
even then, panel
decline is only gradual, and extra panels can be added
to an array,
or, older panels can be sold off for less demanding
functions. The
only moving parts are electrons, and the only
large-scale maintenance
is panel-cleaning as required. (Mostly dust, and bird
droppings, good
thing cows do not fly..!) Warranties issued with new
solar PV
technology are currently valid for 25-30 years, and
older panels that
lose efficiency still generate the same wattage, only
amperage
declines. Earthquakes and weather turbulence are not
major problem
for solar arrays, either, though
attention must be paid to shelter from potential high
wind gusts, and
panel frame construction should be accordingly robust.
Furthermore,
the longitudinal spread of NZ, as well as its
geomorphology, make any
season a good season for solar power generation, as
there is a long
Indian Summer in the South of NZ, even if not optimal
winter
performance in all regions, and, there are adequate
solar hours all
year round in the North Island. Solar farming is also
ready-made
multimodal, just utilising any existing and/or adjacent
grid for
interface, thus having easy input into country-wide
power generation
networks, which also means optimal spread of panel
insolation is
possible, regardless of any regional weather or seasonal
differences. PV panels on every roof in NZ, connected to
the main grid, would
then save a lot of dam water from unnecessary release
during daylight
hours, even on cloudy days. In particular, solar panels
on every
roof in the North Island, including for hot water, would
be a most
sensible solution to the present power generation
imbalance that
subsists in NZ.
Please
also refer to Global
Solar Atlas
World Solar Maps for detailed information re World Solar
Hours;
firstly, note that the hours are conservative, (not
necessarily
accounting for phenomena such as Indian Summers), and
secondly, that
Northern Hemisphere countries like Germany, with fewer
solar hours
than Australasia, are spending more per capita on solar
power
research then we are. China is now becoming a major
solar PV
producer, and, with ‘solar grade’ PV silica being less
expensive
than silica refined for conventional electronics, panel
prices will
continue to fall. Regional
solar farms would could also support the grid,
especially at some
elevation, and cause less controversy, re environmental
impact and
noise, than wind power. The best annual insolation in NZ
is actually
in the Otago region, and, the Mackenzie Country is a
case in point,
with high elevation, clear air, suitable north-facing
slopes, yet
still close to the main grid, although there are plenty
of
well-elevated positions of similar potential anywhere in
NZ. Solar
PV and thermal
hot water will also produce results during cloudy days,
and this
counts when the main grid is being supplemented, or,
just for
standalone installations. Note that ‘savings’ of dam
water
thereby should be calculated on a yearly basis, and for
the whole
country.
5) Mixed
alternative power generation is the optimal solution,
but,
solar power, of the power generation alternatives, will
always be
more ubiquitous, and more reliable, and that must
include solar hot
water. Even remote stand-alone power generation benefits
from mixed
power generation, but, solar is the main reliable
low-maintenance
solution, and, even with wind and water potential
available,
stand-alone plant users may choose not to use them,
preferring higher
investment in solar PV and solar hot water, because of
the
trouble-free nature of solar power usage. Water movement
and storage
is also possible using portable solar pumps with a
dedicated panel,
remote telephones can be solar powered as well as other
remote uses
of solar PV, with or without battery backup. Noise,
maintenance,
proximity, and/or reticulation, etc, are all factors to
consider with
wind and water power supplementation.
Even
businesses or homes on a main grid can both benefit from
a small
backup solar installation, especially when power cuts
are probable,
with current grid stability an issue. Main grids in
Australia and NZ
date from the 1950s and 60s, and there are population
increases
placing and added burden on these older grids at a time
when upgrade
is well due. Balanced
input of any alternative energy to the grid can be
economically
implemented, excess could be directed to water heating,
large-scale
battery charging, especially vehicular, etc., and power
prices should
also be adjusted during times of peak AE input. 6) Much is
made of power costs versus efficiencies, and, solar gets
bad
press in this regard by lobbies pushing for complex
technical and
mechanical power solutions, or, protecting some other outdated
economic
status quo. Present PV solar technology, at about 27%
efficiency,
will peak at about
30%,
the average off-the–shelf for stand-alone purposes is
presently
about 17%. But, the price of manufacture has been
NZ/AU$10 per watt
for more than 30 years, and will continue to fall in
relative terms. As well, there is ongoing R&D
improving solar technology,
especially involving wider utilisation of the solar
spectrum. Solar
power should be seen as a major power supplement for
most
installations, unless very large panels and batteries
are installed
in standalone situations, and, in the case of grid
interface, the
main grid will support on-demand intensive power needs,
then, the
solar power unit will farm back solar-generated power,
at other
times, for a cash return. Note
that grid power to a wall-switch is only about 30% of
initial power
generated, the rest being lost to heat, distance,
resistance,
inversion/conversion, regulation, metering, et al. New
solar technology also means a healthy market in used
solar equipment,
so, larger budget-priced arrays can be installed,
especially for
standalone use. Improving climate-related architecture,
improving
home appliance technology, utilising thermal hot water,
plus, careful
supplementation of heating and cooking by other means,
such as main
power, (not including standalone situations), plus
efficient
wood-burning, or, of natural gas, (which can be
supplemented by
biomass production as well), all make solar power more
attractive and
cost effective. All types of AE power generation can
benefit from
similar considerations of energy conservation and
careful usage. Note that solar PV power can also provide
hydrogen generation for
fuel cell use, as well as for main grid or standalone
use, outside of
peak usage periods. Meanwhile,
the average combustion engine is no better than 30%
efficient, as
well, and that does not take into account the gross
energy
expenditure to actually bring fuel to the pump, as well
as the
energy, and the cost, being non-recoverable, once
expended. Likewise, apart from capital cost, dams expend
water one-way only,
depending thence on replenishment that is
climate-dependent, and,
there are efficiency penalties and costs in turbine use,
plus major
unimodal power grid reticulation that loses some 60%
efficiency as
well. Note that grid power to a wall-switch is only
about 30% of
initial power generated, the rest being lost to heat,
distance,
resistance, inversion/conversion, regulation, metering,
et al. Geothermal and fossil fuel power can be similarly
subjected to cost
/efficiency scrutiny, and when this is done properly,
solar power,
both PV and Thermal, look much more worthwhile,
especially when GHG
emissions are considered, and, low maintenance and long
working life
are included.
Solar
PV power farming will ensure the quickest return of
manufacturing
costs in a way that no other power source can possibly
do, (5 years
is quite realistic, the more so as power prices will
continue to
rise), and, there really is ‘power for free’ until PV
efficiency
declines after 30 years or so. Capital investment is
thus returned,
and then exceeded, whereas power paid by the usual grid
consumer is
money that is lost forever. With solar power, both PV
and Thermal,
the old adage, ‘the more you eat, the more you get
paid’, really
does apply in the full economic sense of limitless power
returns. Solar farming can connect to any part of a main
or regional power
grid with simple DC-AC inversion, plus interface
technology, and
there is consequently less loss of power efficiency to
‘The System’
compared to reticulation from major conventional
power-generating
plants. Note
that batteries are only necessary for standalone
applications,
and, these are the same batteries that would support
wind or water
power as well, most commonly flooded
lead-sulphuric-acid, and for
ultimate low maintenance, nickel-iron-sodium-hydroxide.
Lithium-Ion
batteries are now in common use, with high rechrge cycle
rates, and
Calcium batteries show even more potential for similar
efficiencies. (See
also
Nofrillstech.net
re battery management information.) Large scale FLA
battery piles
have been used to support main power grids in the past,
eg, at
Niagara Falls, but, the water actually held in the dams
is always the
optimal power storage solution, so, any alternative
energy source
that complements and supports this should be used. Solar
power is
thus mooted as the best alternative solution, with
potential for
ubiquity, easy grid interface, and, an energy efficiency
that
compares very favourably
with
other energy sources, if gross and net energy costs are
factored into
efficiency equations, especially solar hot water
production.
Most
importantly, solar power, whether PV or thermal, is
infinitely
renewable, gives an early refund, and more, on
investment, does not
involve serious environmental siting considerations,
and, is very low
maintenance. Plus, solar power is endlessly
ubiquitous in
application, even within the far reaches of the Solar
System, or,
during Polar Summers! Grids with time zones, as well as
longitudinal
spread, that would utilise solar power, are particularly
well
favoured because of the continuity of insolation within
the grid,
plus, staggering of peak usage, and this should always
include solar
hot water temperature boosting, which also eases grid
demands.
Thus,
solar power is a potential agent for regional
co-operation, as well
as for national and even international co-operation.
Consider
Pan-Eurasian, Pan-African, or Pan-American power grids
supported by
solar power, and any other utilisable energy source,
which will now
increasingly be the Australian grid supplementation
model, as a
further example.
Solar
Power for World Peace…? Not least to prevent looming
World Water
Wars..?
https://globalsolaratlas.info/ http://www.homepower.com/